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2026 HSC Mathematics Extension 2 — Intuition Education Predicted Paper

100 marks · an original Intuition practice paper realising the consensus predictions — every question links to the evidence behind it. Prefer the PDF?

Provenance & general instructions

This full-length practice paper was synthesised from a six-model AI consensus (Fable, Opus, GPT-5.6 Sol, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Grok, DeepSeek) over 118 question-level predictions for the 2026 HSC Mathematics Extension 2 examination. Every consensus cluster with agreement probability ≥ 0.55 is realised as a question below (plus the 0.52 induction slot, which all six models predict as a type), with the remaining marks drawn from the panel's watch list; all questions are original Intuition Education compositions in NESA style — no question is reproduced from a past HSC paper. A prediction provenance table follows the marking notes.

General Instructions

  • Reading time — 10 minutes
  • Working time — 3 hours
  • Write using black pen
  • Calculators approved by NESA may be used
  • A reference sheet is provided at the back of this paper
  • For questions in Section II, show relevant mathematical reasoning and/or calculations

Section I — 10 marks (Questions 1–10) Attempt Questions 1–10. Allow about 15 minutes for this section.

Section II — 90 marks (Questions 11–16) Attempt Questions 11–16. Allow about 2 hours and 45 minutes for this section. All answers to Section II are to be written in the Section II Writing Booklet, in the pages set aside for each question.

Section I

10 marks — Attempt Questions 1–10 — Allow about 15 minutes for this section

Use the multiple-choice answer sheet for Questions 1–10.

Consider the statement:

"If a whole number $n$ is a multiple of 6, then $n$ is a multiple of 3."

Which of the following is the contrapositive of this statement?

  • A. If $n$ is a multiple of 3, then $n$ is a multiple of 6.
  • B. If $n$ is not a multiple of 3, then $n$ is not a multiple of 6.
  • C. If $n$ is not a multiple of 6, then $n$ is not a multiple of 3.
  • D. $n$ is a multiple of 6 and $n$ is not a multiple of 3.

Consider the statement:

$$\forall x \in \mathbb{R},\ \exists y \in \mathbb{R} \text{ such that } y^3 = x.$$

Which of the following is the negation of this statement?

  • A. $\forall x \in \mathbb{R},\ \exists y \in \mathbb{R}$ such that $y^3 \ne x$
  • B. $\exists x \in \mathbb{R}$ such that $\exists y \in \mathbb{R}$ with $y^3 \ne x$
  • C. $\exists x \in \mathbb{R}$ such that $\forall y \in \mathbb{R},\ y^3 \ne x$
  • D. $\forall x \in \mathbb{R},\ \forall y \in \mathbb{R},\ y^3 \ne x$

Question 3

What is the principal argument of $z = -1 - \sqrt{3}\,i$?

  • A. $\dfrac{2\pi}{3}$
  • B. $\dfrac{4\pi}{3}$
  • C. $-\dfrac{\pi}{3}$
  • D. $-\dfrac{2\pi}{3}$

Which of the following is a vector equation of the line through the points $A(1, -2, 3)$ and $B(3, -1, 1)$?

  • A. $\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ -2 \\ 3 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda \begin{pmatrix} 3 \\ -1 \\ 1 \end{pmatrix}$
  • B. $\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 3 \\ -1 \\ 1 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ -2 \\ 3 \end{pmatrix}$
  • C. $\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ -2 \\ 3 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda \begin{pmatrix} 2 \\ 1 \\ -2 \end{pmatrix}$
  • D. $\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 2 \\ 1 \\ -2 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ -2 \\ 3 \end{pmatrix}$

Question 5

A particle moves in a straight line so that its velocity is $v = x^2 + 1$, where $x$ is its displacement in metres and $v$ is in $\text{m s}^{-1}$.

What is the acceleration of the particle, in $\text{m s}^{-2}$, when $x = 1$?

  • A. $2$
  • B. $4$
  • C. $8$
  • D. $5$

A particle moves in simple harmonic motion with

$$v^2 = 12 + 4x - x^2,$$

where $x$ is its displacement in metres and $v$ is in $\text{m s}^{-1}$.

What is the amplitude of the motion?

  • A. $4$
  • B. $2\sqrt{3}$
  • C. $16$
  • D. $2$

Question 7

The polynomial $P(x) = x^3 - 7x^2 + 17x - 15$ has real coefficients, and $2 + i$ is a zero of $P(x)$.

What is the third zero of $P(x)$?

  • A. $3$
  • B. $-3$
  • C. $5$
  • D. $1$

Which of the following is the correct form of the partial fraction decomposition of $\dfrac{3x + 5}{(x - 1)(x^2 + 4)}$, where $A$, $B$ and $C$ are real constants?

  • A. $\dfrac{A}{x - 1} + \dfrac{B}{x^2 + 4}$
  • B. $\dfrac{A}{x - 1} + \dfrac{B}{x + 2} + \dfrac{C}{x - 2}$
  • C. $\dfrac{Ax + B}{x - 1} + \dfrac{C}{x^2 + 4}$
  • D. $\dfrac{A}{x - 1} + \dfrac{Bx + C}{x^2 + 4}$

Question 9

What is the value of $(1 + i)^{10}$?

  • A. $-32i$
  • B. $32i$
  • C. $32$
  • D. $-32$

Question 10

Which of the following best describes the set of points $z$ in the complex plane satisfying $|z - 1| = |z + i|$?

  • A. A circle with centre $\dfrac{1 - i}{2}$
  • B. The line $y = x$
  • C. The line $y = -x$
  • D. The ray $\arg z = -\dfrac{\pi}{4}$

Section II

90 marks — Attempt Questions 11–16 — Allow about 2 hours and 45 minutes for this section

Answer the questions in the Section II Writing Booklet, in the pages set aside for each question. Extra writing pages are provided at the back of the booklet. For questions in Section II, your responses should include relevant mathematical reasoning and/or calculations.

(a) Let $z = 3 - i$ and $w = 1 + 2i$.

    (i) Find $\bar{z}\,w$. (1 mark)

    (ii) Express $\dfrac{z}{w}$ in the form $x + iy$, where $x$ and $y$ are real. (2 marks)

(b) Express $\sqrt{3} - i$ in exponential form, and hence express $\left(\sqrt{3} - i\right)^7$ in the form $x + iy$, where $x$ and $y$ are real. (3 marks)

(c) Find the angle between the vectors $\underset{\sim}{a} = \begin{pmatrix} 2 \\ -1 \\ 2 \end{pmatrix}$ and $\underset{\sim}{b} = \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ 3 \\ -2 \end{pmatrix}$, correct to the nearest degree. (2 marks)

(d) The points $A(1, 2, -1)$ and $B(3, 1, 1)$ are given.

    (i) Find a vector equation of the line $\ell$ through $A$ and $B$. (1 mark)

    (ii) Determine, with reasons, whether the point $C(7, -1, 5)$ lies on $\ell$. (2 marks)

(e) Prove by contradiction that $\log_2 3$ is irrational. (3 marks)

(f) Solve $z^2 + 9 = 0$. (1 mark)

(a)

    (i) Find the real constants $A$, $B$ and $C$ such that

$$\frac{2x^2 + x + 2}{(x - 1)(x^2 + 4)} = \frac{A}{x - 1} + \frac{Bx + C}{x^2 + 4}.$$

(2 marks)

    (ii) Hence find

$$\int \frac{2x^2 + x + 2}{(x - 1)(x^2 + 4)}\; dx.$$

(2 marks)

(b) Using the substitution $t = \tan\dfrac{x}{2}$, evaluate

$$\int_0^{\frac{\pi}{2}} \frac{dx}{1 + \sin x + \cos x}.$$

(3 marks)

(c) A particle moves in a straight line so that

$$v^2 = 27 + 18x - 9x^2,$$

where $x$ is its displacement in metres and $v$ is its velocity in $\text{m s}^{-1}$.

    (i) Show that the particle moves in simple harmonic motion, and state the centre and the period of the motion. (2 marks)

    (ii) Find the amplitude of the motion and the maximum speed of the particle. (1 mark)

    (iii) Find the maximum magnitude of the acceleration of the particle. (1 mark)

    (iv) Find the total distance travelled by the particle in one complete period. (1 mark)

(d) Use mathematical induction to prove that $2^n > n^2$ for all integers $n \ge 5$. (3 marks)

Question 13 (15 marks) — Start on the page marked "Question 13" in the Writing Booklet

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.71 Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.66 Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.64

(a) For $n \ge 0$, let

$$I_n = \int_0^1 x^n e^x\; dx.$$

    (i) Using integration by parts, show that $I_n = e - n I_{n-1}$ for $n \ge 1$. (3 marks)

    (ii) Hence evaluate $I_3$. (2 marks)

(b) Sketch the region in the complex plane where the inequalities

$$|z - 2| \le 2 \qquad \text{and} \qquad |z| > |z - 2i|$$

hold simultaneously, showing the coordinates of any relevant intersection points and clearly distinguishing included and excluded boundaries. (3 marks)

(c)

    (i) Prove that $\dfrac{a + b}{2} \ge \sqrt{ab}$ for all real $a, b > 0$. (1 mark)

    (ii) Hence prove that, for all real $a, b, c > 0$,

$$(a + b)(b + c)(c + a) \ge 8abc.$$

(3 marks)

(d) Find the coordinates of the point on the line

$$\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ 0 \\ -1 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda \begin{pmatrix} 2 \\ 1 \\ 2 \end{pmatrix}$$

that is closest to the point $P(3, -1, 2)$, and hence find the shortest distance from $P$ to the line. (3 marks)

Question 14 (15 marks) — Start on the page marked "Question 14" in the Writing Booklet

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.62 Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.58

(a) In triangle $OAB$, the points $A$ and $B$ have position vectors $\underset{\sim}{a}$ and $\underset{\sim}{b}$ relative to $O$. The point $C$ is the midpoint of $OA$, and the point $D$ lies on $AB$ with $AD : DB = 2 : 1$. The line segments $OD$ and $BC$ intersect at $X$.

Triangle $OAB$ with $O$ at the lower left, $A$ at the lower right and $B$ at the top. $C$ is marked as the midpoint of side $OA$; $D$ is marked on side $AB$, two-thirds of the way from $A$ to $B$. The cevians $OD$ and $BC$ are drawn, intersecting at an interior point labelled $X$.
Diagram provided in the exam

    (i) Show that $\overrightarrow{OD} = \dfrac{1}{3}\underset{\sim}{a} + \dfrac{2}{3}\underset{\sim}{b}$. (1 mark)

    (ii) By expressing $\overrightarrow{OX}$ in two different ways, prove that $X$ is the midpoint of $BC$, and find the ratio $OX : XD$. (3 marks)

(b)

    (i) Using De Moivre's theorem and the binomial theorem, show that

$$\sin 5\theta = 16\sin^5\theta - 20\sin^3\theta + 5\sin\theta.$$

(2 marks)

    (ii) Hence show that $x = \sin\dfrac{\pi}{5}$ and $x = \sin\dfrac{2\pi}{5}$ are roots of the equation

$$16x^4 - 20x^2 + 5 = 0.$$

(2 marks)

    (iii) Hence show that

$$\sin\frac{\pi}{5}\,\sin\frac{2\pi}{5} = \frac{\sqrt{5}}{4}.$$

(2 marks)

(c) The polynomial $P(x) = x^3 - 5x^2 + 11x - 15$ has real coefficients, and $1 + 2i$ is a zero of $P(x)$.

Find the other two zeros of $P(x)$. (2 marks)

(d) Solve the equation

$$z^2 - (3 + i)z + 2 + 2i = 0,$$

giving your answers in the form $x + iy$, where $x$ and $y$ are real. (3 marks)

Question 15 (15 marks) — Start on the page marked "Question 15" in the Writing Booklet

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.64

(a) A particle of mass $m$ is projected vertically upwards from the ground with speed $u$. It experiences a resistive force of magnitude $mkv^2$, where $v$ is its speed and $k$ is a positive constant. The acceleration due to gravity is $g$.

    (i) Taking upwards as positive, the equation of motion on the way up is $\ddot{x} = -\left(g + kv^2\right)$. Using $\ddot{x} = v\dfrac{dv}{dx}$, show that the maximum height reached is

$$H = \frac{1}{2k}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku^2}{g}\right).$$

(3 marks)

    (ii) Using $\ddot{x} = \dfrac{dv}{dt}$, show that the time taken to reach the highest point is

$$T = \frac{1}{\sqrt{gk}}\tan^{-1}\!\left(u\sqrt{\frac{k}{g}}\right).$$

(3 marks)

    (iii) After reaching its highest point the particle falls back to the ground. Write down the terminal velocity of the falling particle, and explain why the particle lands with speed less than this terminal velocity. (2 marks)

(b)

    (i) Find the four solutions of the equation

$$z^4 = -8 + 8\sqrt{3}\,i,$$

giving each solution in the form $re^{i\theta}$ with $-\pi < \theta \le \pi$. (2 marks)

    (ii) Plot the four solutions on an Argand diagram, and describe the figure they form. (1 mark)

    (iii) Express the solution lying in the first quadrant in the form $x + iy$, where $x$ and $y$ are real. (1 mark)

(c) The Argand diagram below shows the unit circle and a complex number $z$ with $|z| > 1$.

An Argand diagram showing both axes, the unit circle centred at $O$, and a point labelled $z$ in the first quadrant outside the unit circle, with modulus about $1.4$ and argument about $40°$. The line segment from $O$ to $z$ is drawn.
Diagram provided in the exam

On a copy of the diagram, locate approximate positions of the points representing

$$\text{(i) } \bar{z} \qquad \text{(ii) } i\bar{z} \qquad \text{(iii) } \frac{z^2}{|z|},$$

without performing any calculations, briefly justifying the position of each point. (3 marks)

Question 16 (15 marks) — Start on the page marked "Question 16" in the Writing Booklet

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.60

(a) Let $z$ and $w$ be complex numbers.

    (i) Using the fact that $|v|^2 = v\bar{v}$ for any complex number $v$, prove that

$$|z + w|^2 + |z - w|^2 = 2|z|^2 + 2|w|^2.$$

(2 marks)

    (ii) Suppose $|z| = |w| = 1$. Prove by contradiction that at least one of $|z + w|$ and $|z - w|$ is greater than or equal to $\sqrt{2}$. (2 marks)

    (iii) Find values of $z$ and $w$ with $|z| = |w| = 1$ for which $|z + w| = |z - w| = \sqrt{2}$, justifying your answer. (1 mark)

(b) A car of mass $m$ is travelling at speed $u$ along a straight horizontal road when its brakes are applied. While braking, the car experiences a total retarding force of magnitude $m(c + kv)$, where $v$ is its speed and $c$ and $k$ are positive constants, so that its equation of motion is $\ddot{x} = -(c + kv)$.

    (i) Using $\ddot{x} = v\dfrac{dv}{dx}$, show that the distance travelled by the car in coming to rest is

$$D = \frac{u}{k} - \frac{c}{k^2}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku}{c}\right).$$

(3 marks)

    (ii) Using $\ddot{x} = \dfrac{dv}{dt}$, show that the time taken for the car to come to rest is

$$T = \frac{1}{k}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku}{c}\right).$$

(2 marks)

(c) Let

$$I = \int_0^{\pi} \frac{x\sin x}{1 + \cos^2 x}\; dx.$$

    (i) Using the substitution $u = \pi - x$, show that

$$2I = \pi\int_0^{\pi} \frac{\sin x}{1 + \cos^2 x}\; dx.$$

(2 marks)

    (ii) Evaluate $\displaystyle\int_0^{\pi} \frac{\sin x}{1 + \cos^2 x}\; dx$. (2 marks)

    (iii) Hence find the exact value of $I$. (1 mark)

Answers & marking notes not part of the examination paper — try the paper first

Answers and marking notes

(Intuition Education — not part of the examination paper.)

Section I — correct responses

Q 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Answer B C D C B A A D B C

Brief reasons:

  1. Contrapositive negates and swaps: "not multiple of 3 $\Rightarrow$ not multiple of 6". A is the converse, C the inverse, D a (false) conjunction. B
  2. Negating $\forall\,\exists$ gives $\exists\,\forall$: there is some $x$ that is no cube. A negates only the inner clause; D over-negates. C
  3. $-1 - \sqrt{3}i$ lies in the third quadrant with reference angle $\tfrac{\pi}{3}$; the principal argument in $(-\pi, \pi]$ is $-\pi + \tfrac{\pi}{3} = -\tfrac{2\pi}{3}$ (B is the non-principal $\tfrac{4\pi}{3}$). D
  4. Direction $\overrightarrow{AB} = (2, 1, -2)$ through point $A$. A and B use a position vector as the direction; D uses $B - A$ as the point. C
  5. $a = v\dfrac{dv}{dx} = (x^2+1)(2x)$; at $x = 1$: $2 \times 2 = 4$. (A is the omitted-$v$ error $\tfrac{dv}{dx} = 2$.) B
  6. $v^2 = 16 - (x - 2)^2$: $n = 1$, centre $2$, amplitude $4$. (B is the read-the-constant-term error $A^2 = 12$; D is the centre.) A
  7. Conjugate $2 - i$ is also a zero; sum of zeros $= 7$, so the third is $7 - 4 = 3$ (or $15 \div |2+i|^2 = 3$ from the product). A
  8. Irreducible quadratic $x^2 + 4$ needs a linear numerator $Bx + C$; it does not factor over the reals (B), and $\tfrac{A}{x-1}$ needs only a constant (C). D
  9. $1 + i = \sqrt{2}\operatorname{cis}\tfrac{\pi}{4}$, so $(1+i)^{10} = 2^5 \operatorname{cis}\tfrac{5\pi}{2} = 32\operatorname{cis}\tfrac{\pi}{2} = 32i$. B
  10. Equidistant from $1$ and $-i$: the perpendicular bisector of the segment joining $(1, 0)$ and $(0, -1)$, which passes through the origin with gradient $-1$: the line $y = -x$. C

Question 11

(a)(i) $\bar{z}w = (3 + i)(1 + 2i) = 3 + 6i + i - 2 = 1 + 7i$. (a)(ii) $\dfrac{3 - i}{1 + 2i} \cdot \dfrac{1 - 2i}{1 - 2i} = \dfrac{3 - 6i - i - 2}{5} = \dfrac{1 - 7i}{5} = \dfrac{1}{5} - \dfrac{7}{5}i$. (1 mark multiplying by the conjugate, 1 mark answer.)

(b) $|\sqrt{3} - i| = 2$, $\arg = -\tfrac{\pi}{6}$, so $\sqrt{3} - i = 2e^{-i\pi/6}$. Then $\left(\sqrt{3} - i\right)^7 = 2^7 e^{-7i\pi/6} = 128\operatorname{cis}\tfrac{5\pi}{6} = 128\left(-\tfrac{\sqrt{3}}{2} + \tfrac{1}{2}i\right) = -64\sqrt{3} + 64i$. (1 mark exponential form with principal argument, 1 mark De Moivre, 1 mark exact Cartesian.)

(c) $\underset{\sim}{a}\cdot\underset{\sim}{b} = 2 - 3 - 4 = -5$; $|\underset{\sim}{a}| = 3$, $|\underset{\sim}{b}| = \sqrt{14}$. $\cos\theta = \dfrac{-5}{3\sqrt{14}}$, so $\theta \approx 116°$. (Keep the negative cosine — the angle is obtuse.)

(d)(i) $\overrightarrow{AB} = (2, -1, 2)$: $\underset{\sim}{r} = \begin{pmatrix} 1 \\ 2 \\ -1 \end{pmatrix} + \lambda\begin{pmatrix} 2 \\ -1 \\ 2 \end{pmatrix}$. (d)(ii) Require $(7, -1, 5) = (1 + 2\lambda,\ 2 - \lambda,\ -1 + 2\lambda)$: the first gives $\lambda = 3$, the second $\lambda = 3$, the third $\lambda = 3$ — one consistent parameter, so $C$ lies on $\ell$. (The mark is for checking all three components against a single $\lambda$.)

(e) Suppose $\log_2 3 = \tfrac{p}{q}$ with $p, q$ positive integers (positive since $\log_2 3 > 0$). Then $2^{p/q} = 3$, so $2^p = 3^q$. But $2^p$ is even and $3^q$ is odd — a contradiction. Hence $\log_2 3$ is irrational. (1 mark stating the assumption in lowest form, 1 mark reaching $2^p = 3^q$, 1 mark exhibiting the parity contradiction and writing the conclusion.)

(f) $z = \pm 3i$.

Question 12

(a)(i) $2x^2 + x + 2 = A(x^2 + 4) + (Bx + C)(x - 1)$. At $x = 1$: $5 = 5A$, so $A = 1$. Comparing $x^2$: $B = 1$; comparing constants: $4A - C = 2$, so $C = 2$. Thus $A = 1$, $B = 1$, $C = 2$. (a)(ii) $\displaystyle\int \left(\frac{1}{x - 1} + \frac{x + 2}{x^2 + 4}\right) dx = \ln|x - 1| + \tfrac{1}{2}\ln\left(x^2 + 4\right) + \tan^{-1}\frac{x}{2} + C$. (Absolute value on the first logarithm required.)

(b) $dx = \dfrac{2\,dt}{1 + t^2}$, $\sin x = \dfrac{2t}{1 + t^2}$, $\cos x = \dfrac{1 - t^2}{1 + t^2}$; limits $x = 0 \to t = 0$, $x = \tfrac{\pi}{2} \to t = 1$. The denominator becomes $\dfrac{2 + 2t}{1 + t^2}$, so the integral is $\displaystyle\int_0^1 \frac{dt}{1 + t} = \ln 2$. (1 mark substitution including both limits, 1 mark simplification, 1 mark $\ln 2$.)

(c)(i) $\ddot{x} = \tfrac{1}{2}\dfrac{d(v^2)}{dx} = \tfrac{1}{2}(18 - 18x) = -9(x - 1)$, which is of the form $\ddot{x} = -n^2(x - c)$: SHM with centre $x = 1$ and $n = 3$, period $\dfrac{2\pi}{3}$. (c)(ii) $v^2 = 36 - 9(x - 1)^2$: amplitude $A = 2$; maximum speed $nA = 6 \text{ m s}^{-1}$ (at the centre). (c)(iii) Maximum $|\ddot{x}| = n^2 A = 9 \times 2 = 18 \text{ m s}^{-2}$ (at the endpoints $x = -1, 3$). (c)(iv) $4A = 8$ m.

(d) Base case $n = 5$: $2^5 = 32 > 25 = 5^2$. Assume $2^k > k^2$ for some integer $k \ge 5$. Then $2^{k+1} = 2 \cdot 2^k > 2k^2$. Now for $k \ge 5$, $k^2 - 2k - 1 = (k - 1)^2 - 2 > 0$, so $2k^2 > k^2 + 2k + 1 = (k + 1)^2$. Hence $2^{k+1} > (k+1)^2$, and the result follows by induction. (The middle mark is for the auxiliary inequality $2k^2 > (k+1)^2$ with justification valid for $k \ge 5$ — the step where the assumption is used, not restated.)

Question 13

(a)(i) With $u = x^n$, $dv = e^x dx$, so $du = nx^{n-1}dx$, $v = e^x$: $$I_n = \left[x^n e^x\right]_0^1 - n\int_0^1 x^{n-1}e^x dx = e - nI_{n-1} \quad (n \ge 1).$$ (1 mark naming $u$, $dv$, $v$, $du$; 1 mark the parts step; 1 mark substituting the limits.) (a)(ii) $I_0 = e - 1$; $I_1 = e - I_0 = 1$; $I_2 = e - 2I_1 = e - 2$; $I_3 = e - 3I_2 = 6 - 2e$.

(b) $|z - 2| \le 2$ is the closed disc centre $(2, 0)$ radius $2$ (solid boundary). $|z| > |z - 2i| \iff x^2 + y^2 > x^2 + (y-2)^2 \iff y > 1$: the open half-plane above the dashed line $y = 1$. The region is the part of the disc strictly above $y = 1$; the circle meets $y = 1$ at $\left(2 \pm \sqrt{3},\ 1\right)$ (excluded endpoints, open dots). (1 mark disc with solid boundary, 1 mark dashed bisector $y = 1$ with correct side, 1 mark intersection points and correct shading.)

(c)(i) $(\sqrt{a} - \sqrt{b})^2 \ge 0 \Rightarrow a + b \ge 2\sqrt{ab} \Rightarrow \dfrac{a+b}{2} \ge \sqrt{ab}$. (c)(ii) By (i), $a + b \ge 2\sqrt{ab}$, $b + c \ge 2\sqrt{bc}$, $c + a \ge 2\sqrt{ca}$. All six quantities are positive, so the inequalities may be multiplied: $$(a+b)(b+c)(c+a) \ge 8\sqrt{a^2b^2c^2} = 8abc.$$ (1 mark applying (i) three times, 1 mark justifying the multiplication by positivity, 1 mark completing; equality iff $a = b = c$. Start from the known truth — do not work backwards from the target.)

(d) General point $Q(1 + 2\lambda,\ \lambda,\ -1 + 2\lambda)$; $\overrightarrow{PQ} = (2\lambda - 2,\ \lambda + 1,\ 2\lambda - 3)$. Perpendicularity: $\overrightarrow{PQ}\cdot(2, 1, 2) = 9\lambda - 9 = 0$, so $\lambda = 1$ and the closest point is $(3, 1, 1)$. Then $\overrightarrow{PQ} = (0, 2, -1)$ and the shortest distance is $\sqrt{5}$. (1 mark general point, 1 mark perpendicularity condition, 1 mark foot and distance.)

Question 14

(a)(i) $\overrightarrow{OD} = \underset{\sim}{a} + \tfrac{2}{3}\left(\underset{\sim}{b} - \underset{\sim}{a}\right) = \tfrac{1}{3}\underset{\sim}{a} + \tfrac{2}{3}\underset{\sim}{b}$. (a)(ii) $X$ on $OD$: $\overrightarrow{OX} = t\left(\tfrac{1}{3}\underset{\sim}{a} + \tfrac{2}{3}\underset{\sim}{b}\right)$. $X$ on $BC$: $\overrightarrow{OX} = \underset{\sim}{b} + s\left(\tfrac{1}{2}\underset{\sim}{a} - \underset{\sim}{b}\right) = \tfrac{s}{2}\underset{\sim}{a} + (1 - s)\underset{\sim}{b}$. Since $\underset{\sim}{a}$ and $\underset{\sim}{b}$ are non-zero and non-parallel, coefficients may be equated: $\tfrac{t}{3} = \tfrac{s}{2}$ and $\tfrac{2t}{3} = 1 - s$. Solving: $t = \tfrac{3}{4}$, $s = \tfrac{1}{2}$. So $X = B + \tfrac{1}{2}(C - B)$ is the midpoint of $BC$, and $\overrightarrow{OX} = \tfrac{3}{4}\overrightarrow{OD}$ gives $OX : XD = 3 : 1$. (1 mark the two expressions, 1 mark equating coefficients with the non-parallel justification, 1 mark both conclusions.)

(b)(i) $\cos 5\theta + i\sin 5\theta = (\cos\theta + i\sin\theta)^5$. The imaginary part of the binomial expansion (with $c = \cos\theta$, $s = \sin\theta$): $\sin 5\theta = 5c^4 s - 10c^2 s^3 + s^5$. Substituting $c^2 = 1 - s^2$: $$\sin 5\theta = 5s(1 - s^2)^2 - 10s^3(1 - s^2) + s^5 = 16s^5 - 20s^3 + 5s.$$ (b)(ii) For $\theta = \tfrac{\pi}{5}$ and $\theta = \tfrac{2\pi}{5}$, $\sin 5\theta = \sin\pi = \sin 2\pi = 0$, so $s\left(16s^4 - 20s^2 + 5\right) = 0$ with $s = \sin\theta \ne 0$; hence both values satisfy $16x^4 - 20x^2 + 5 = 0$. (b)(iii) Putting $y = x^2$: $16y^2 - 20y + 5 = 0$ has roots $y_1 = \sin^2\tfrac{\pi}{5}$ and $y_2 = \sin^2\tfrac{2\pi}{5}$ (distinct, as $0 < \sin\tfrac{\pi}{5} < \sin\tfrac{2\pi}{5}$). By Vieta, $y_1 y_2 = \tfrac{5}{16}$, so $\left(\sin\tfrac{\pi}{5}\sin\tfrac{2\pi}{5}\right)^2 = \tfrac{5}{16}$; both sines are positive, hence the product is $\tfrac{\sqrt{5}}{4}$. (The justification that the two roots of the quadratic are exactly these two values — and the positive-root choice — carries a mark.)

(c) Real coefficients $\Rightarrow$ $1 - 2i$ is also a zero. Sum of zeros $= 5$: third zero $= 5 - (1 + 2i) - (1 - 2i) = 3$. (Check: $(1 + 4) \times 3 = 15$ ✓.) Other zeros: $1 - 2i$ and $3$.

(d) Discriminant: $(3 + i)^2 - 4(2 + 2i) = 8 + 6i - 8 - 8i = -2i$. Seek $(x + iy)^2 = -2i$: $x^2 - y^2 = 0$, $2xy = -2$, giving $x = 1, y = -1$ (or $x = -1, y = 1$), so $\sqrt{-2i} = \pm(1 - i)$. Then $$z = \frac{(3 + i) \pm (1 - i)}{2} = 2 \quad \text{or} \quad 1 + i.$$ (1 mark discriminant, 1 mark Cartesian square root, 1 mark both roots. Check: sum $= 3 + i$ ✓, product $= 2 + 2i$ ✓.)

Question 15

(a)(i) $v\dfrac{dv}{dx} = -(g + kv^2)$, so $x = -\displaystyle\int \frac{v\,dv}{g + kv^2} = -\frac{1}{2k}\ln\left(g + kv^2\right) + C$. At $x = 0$, $v = u$; at the top $v = 0$: $$H = \frac{1}{2k}\ln\frac{g + ku^2}{g} = \frac{1}{2k}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku^2}{g}\right).$$ (1 mark separating with the correct acceleration form, 1 mark the log integral with its constant, 1 mark applying both conditions to reach the given form — show every step in a "show that".) (a)(ii) $\dfrac{dv}{dt} = -(g + kv^2)$, so $$T = \int_0^u \frac{dv}{g + kv^2} = \frac{1}{k}\cdot\frac{1}{\sqrt{g/k}}\left[\tan^{-1}\frac{v}{\sqrt{g/k}}\right]_0^u = \frac{1}{\sqrt{gk}}\tan^{-1}\!\left(u\sqrt{\frac{k}{g}}\right).$$ (The question is sequenced to force both acceleration forms — the marking-centre theme of 2020, 2021, 2023, 2024, 2025.) (a)(iii) Falling: $\ddot{x} = g - kv^2$ (resistance now opposes the downward motion), so the terminal velocity is $v_T = \sqrt{g/k}$, where the acceleration vanishes. While falling, $v < v_T$ always: the speed increases towards $v_T$ but the acceleration $g - kv^2 \to 0$ as $v \to v_T$, so $v_T$ is approached asymptotically and never attained in the finite fall from height $H$. Hence the landing speed is less than $\sqrt{g/k}$.

(b)(i) $|-8 + 8\sqrt{3}i| = 16$, $\arg = \tfrac{2\pi}{3}$. The fourth roots have modulus $16^{1/4} = 2$ and arguments $\tfrac{2\pi/3 + 2k\pi}{4} = \tfrac{\pi}{6} + \tfrac{k\pi}{2}$: $$z = 2e^{i\pi/6},\quad 2e^{2i\pi/3},\quad 2e^{-5i\pi/6},\quad 2e^{-i\pi/3}.$$ (b)(ii) Four points on the circle $|z| = 2$, equally spaced at right angles — the vertices of a square centred at $O$. (b)(iii) $2e^{i\pi/6} = 2\left(\tfrac{\sqrt{3}}{2} + \tfrac{1}{2}i\right) = \sqrt{3} + i$.

(c) (i) $\bar{z}$: reflect $z$ in the real axis — fourth quadrant, same modulus (outside the unit circle). (ii) $i\bar{z}$: rotate $\bar{z}$ anticlockwise by $\tfrac{\pi}{2}$ — argument $\tfrac{\pi}{2} - \arg z \approx 50°$, same modulus. (iii) $\dfrac{z^2}{|z|}$: argument doubles to $\approx 80°$, modulus $\dfrac{|z|^2}{|z|} = |z|$ — the same distance from $O$ as $z$, rotated to twice the argument. (1 mark each; the marks are for correct modulus and argument reasoning, not computation.)

Question 16

(a)(i) $|z + w|^2 + |z - w|^2 = (z + w)(\bar{z} + \bar{w}) + (z - w)(\bar{z} - \bar{w}) = 2z\bar{z} + 2w\bar{w} = 2|z|^2 + 2|w|^2$ (the cross terms $z\bar{w} + w\bar{z}$ cancel). (a)(ii) With $|z| = |w| = 1$, part (i) gives $|z + w|^2 + |z - w|^2 = 4$. Suppose, for contradiction, that $|z + w| < \sqrt{2}$ and $|z - w| < \sqrt{2}$. Then $|z + w|^2 + |z - w|^2 < 2 + 2 = 4$ — contradicting the identity. Hence at least one of them is $\ge \sqrt{2}$. (1 mark the assumption stated, 1 mark the contradiction exhibited and the conclusion written.) (a)(iii) $z = 1$, $w = i$: $|1 + i| = |1 - i| = \sqrt{2}$, and $|z| = |w| = 1$. (Any perpendicular pair on the unit circle works.)

(b)(i) $v\dfrac{dv}{dx} = -(c + kv)$, so $$D = \int_0^u \frac{v\,dv}{c + kv} = \int_0^u \left(\frac{1}{k} - \frac{c/k}{c + kv}\right) dv = \frac{u}{k} - \frac{c}{k^2}\ln\frac{c + ku}{c} = \frac{u}{k} - \frac{c}{k^2}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku}{c}\right).$$ (1 mark the correct acceleration form and separation, 1 mark the division/decomposition of $\tfrac{v}{c + kv}$, 1 mark limits to the given form.) (b)(ii) $\dfrac{dv}{dt} = -(c + kv)$: $T = \displaystyle\int_0^u \frac{dv}{c + kv} = \frac{1}{k}\ln\!\left(1 + \frac{ku}{c}\right)$.

(c)(i) With $u = \pi - x$ (so $\sin x = \sin u$, $\cos x = -\cos u$, $dx = -du$, limits swap): $$I = \int_0^{\pi} \frac{(\pi - u)\sin u}{1 + \cos^2 u}\; du = \pi\int_0^{\pi} \frac{\sin u}{1 + \cos^2 u}\; du - I,$$ so $2I = \pi\displaystyle\int_0^{\pi} \frac{\sin x}{1 + \cos^2 x}\; dx$. (1 mark the substitution with both limits, 1 mark collecting $I$.) (c)(ii) Let $c = \cos x$, $dc = -\sin x\,dx$: $\displaystyle\int_{-1}^{1} \frac{dc}{1 + c^2} = \left[\tan^{-1}c\right]_{-1}^{1} = \frac{\pi}{2}$. (c)(iii) $I = \dfrac{\pi}{2}\cdot\dfrac{\pi}{2} = \dfrac{\pi^2}{4}$.

Prediction provenance working — which prediction each part of the paper realises, linked both ways
Paper item Prediction Agreement

MC Q1, Q2 contrapositive + quantifier negation

↑ Q1 ↑ Q2
ext2-q1-logic-mc 0.82 · 6 (all)

Q11(a), (b), (f) conjugate arithmetic, realised quotient, exponential-form 7th power

↑ Q11(a) ↑ Q11(b) ↑ Q11(f)
ext2-q2-q11-complex-opener 0.81 · 5 (fable, opus, grok, deepseek, gpt-5.6-sol)

Q12(a) + MC Q8 partial fractions, $(x-p)(x^2+q)$ → ln + arctan

↑ Q12(a) ↑ Q8
ext2-q3-partial-fractions 0.78 · 6 (all)

Q12(c) + MC Q6 SHM from $v^2$ quadratic, shifted centre; amplitude-off-constant-term distractor

↑ Q12(c) ↑ Q6
ext2-q4-shm 0.76 · 6 (all)

Q13(a) reduction formula by parts with "hence" evaluation

↑ Q13(a)
ext2-q5-reduction-formula 0.71 · 6 (all) — realised as the predicted reversion to integration by parts

Q11(c), (d) + MC Q4 angle between vectors, line through two points, point-on-line test

↑ Q11(c) ↑ Q11(d) ↑ Q4
ext2-q6-vector-line-toolkit 0.71 · 5 (fable, opus, grok, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q13(c) AM–GM prove-then-apply, chained 3-variable inequality

↑ Q13(c)
ext2-q7-am-gm 0.66 · 5 (opus, fable, grok, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q13(b) Argand region: bisector inequality ∩ disc, dashed/solid conventions

↑ Q13(b)
ext2-q8-argand-region 0.64 · 6 (all)

Q15(a) vertical resisted motion $kv^2$, sequenced to force both acceleration forms

↑ Q15(a)
ext2-q9-resisted-vertical 0.64 · 5 (deepseek, gpt-5.6-sol, grok, fable + opus variant)

Q11(e) contradiction: irrationality of $\log_2 3$ (logical frame marked)

↑ Q11(e)
ext2-q10-contradiction-irrationality 0.63 · 6 (all) — type consensus; fresh surface constant

Q14(a) vector ratio proof by equating coefficients of non-parallel vectors

↑ Q14(a)
ext2-q11-vector-ratio-proof 0.62 · 5 (fable, opus, grok, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q12(b) $t = \tan\frac{x}{2}$ supplied-substitution integral; Q16(c) the $u = a - x$ symmetry variant

↑ Q12(b) ↑ Q16(c)
ext2-q12-substitution-integral 0.60 · 5 — both panel sub-variants realised

Q14(b) De Moivre → $\sin 5\theta$ polynomial → exact surd product

↑ Q14(b)
ext2-q13-de-moivre-exact-value 0.58 · 5 — fresh surface (sine identity) per the corpus-echo note on $\cos 5\theta$

Q12(d) inequality induction with base case $n = 5$, auxiliary inequality cited

↑ Q12(d)
ext2-q14-induction-slot 0.52 · 6 (all, type-level) — inequality form favoured over the divisibility outsider; the DeepSeek/Grok shared surface ($7^n - 2^n$) was a training-data echo and was not used

Q13(d) shortest distance from point to line via foot of perpendicular

↑ Q13(d)
watch list ~0.63 · 3 (deepseek, opus, gpt-5.6-sol) — the panel's sharpest split: fable and grok rest it

Q15(b) $z^4 = c$ for non-real $c$, equally spaced roots, Argand plot

↑ Q15(b)
watch list ~0.60 · 3 — fresh surface (2025 used $z^5 + 1 = 0$)

Q16(b) horizontal resisted motion, constant-plus-$v$, distance-to-rest log form

↑ Q16(b)
watch list ~0.63 · 2 (opus, fable)

MC Q5 $a = v\,dv/dx$ with the omitted-$v$ distractor

↑ Q5
watch list ~0.60 · 2 (grok, gpt-5.6-sol) + deepseek trend

Q14(c) + MC Q7 conjugate-root polynomial, remaining zeros by sum/product

↑ Q14(c) ↑ Q7
watch list ~0.54 · 3 (fable, gpt-5.6-sol, grok)

Q14(d) complex-coefficient quadratic via Cartesian $\sqrt{\Delta}$

↑ Q14(d)
watch list ~0.48 · 3 (deepseek, fable, opus) — fable's bold call: five-year Section II coverage gap in the syllabus's final year

Q16(a) abstract bound proof: parallelogram identity + contradiction on moduli

↑ Q16(a)
watch list 0.65 · fable (specific + structural; 2021 16(a), 2022 15(d), 2025 16(a) lineage)

Q15(c) Argand transformation plot: $\bar{z}$, $i\bar{z}$, $z^2/|z|$ without computation

↑ Q15(c)
watch list ~0.55 · 2 (fable, gpt-5.6-sol)

MC Q3 principal argument; MC Q9 De Moivre power; MC Q10 bisector locus

↑ Q3 ↑ Q9 ↑ Q10
topic-level consensus — · —

Not realised: resisted projectile (rested by fable and grok after 2025 16(b)); volumes-of-revolution revival (grok alone, 0.48)

topic-level consensus — · —

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Published Aug 2026, before the exams. In November 2026 we score these predictions publicly against the real paper — per-model calibration and question-level hit rates, the same harness as the 2025 backtest. How we did it.