Skip to main content

← Maths Advanced styles

2026 HSC Mathematics Advanced — Intuition Education Predicted Paper

100 marks · an original Intuition practice paper realising the consensus predictions — every question links to the evidence behind it. Prefer the PDF?

Provenance & general instructions

This full-length practice paper was synthesised from a six-model AI consensus (Fable, Opus, GPT-5.6 Sol, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Grok, DeepSeek) over 190 question-level predictions for the 2026 HSC Mathematics Advanced examination. Every consensus cluster with agreement probability ≥ 0.55 is realised as a question below, with the remaining marks drawn from the panel's watch list; all questions are original Intuition Education compositions in NESA style — no question is reproduced from a past HSC paper. A prediction provenance table follows the marking notes.

General Instructions

  • Reading time — 10 minutes
  • Working time — 3 hours
  • Write using black pen
  • Calculators approved by NESA may be used
  • A reference sheet is provided at the back of this paper
  • For questions in Section II, show relevant mathematical reasoning and/or calculations

Section I — 10 marks (Questions 1–10) Attempt Questions 1–10. Allow about 15 minutes for this section.

Section II — 90 marks (Questions 11–31) Attempt Questions 11–31. Allow about 2 hours and 45 minutes for this section.

Section I

10 marks — Attempt Questions 1–10 — Allow about 15 minutes for this section

Use the multiple-choice answer sheet for Questions 1–10.

What is the domain of the function $f(x) = \dfrac{1}{\sqrt{4 - x^2}}$?

  • A. $[-2, 2]$
  • B. $(0, 2)$
  • C. $(-2, 2)$
  • D. all real $x$, $x \ne \pm 2$

The point $(4, 3)$ lies on the graph of $y = f(x)$.

Which point must lie on the graph of $y = f(2x) + 1$?

  • A. $(8, 4)$
  • B. $(2, 4)$
  • C. $(2, 3)$
  • D. $(8, 7)$

Question 3

A data set of nine house prices has mean $\$620\,000$ and median $\$580\,000$. A tenth house, sold for $\$3\,000\,000$, is added to the data set.

Which of the following best describes the effect?

  • A. The median increases by more than the mean.
  • B. The mean and the median increase by the same amount.
  • C. Neither the mean nor the median changes.
  • D. The mean increases by more than the median.

Question 4

What is the range of the function $y = 3 - 2\cos(4x)$?

  • A. $[1, 5]$
  • B. $[-5, 5]$
  • C. $[1, 3]$
  • D. $[-1, 5]$

Question 5

The table shows values of the functions $f$ and $g$ and their derivatives at $x = 1$ and $x = 2$.

$x$ $f(x)$ $f'(x)$ $g(x)$ $g'(x)$
$1$ $7$ $4$ $2$ $6$
$2$ $5$ $3$ $-1$ $8$

Let $h(x) = f(g(x))$. What is the value of $h'(1)$?

  • A. $24$
  • B. $18$
  • C. $3$
  • D. $30$

Question 6

What is the domain of the function $f(x) = \ln(3 - x)$?

  • A. $x > 3$
  • B. $x \le 3$
  • C. $x < 3$
  • D. $x \ne 3$

Question 7

The table shows the probability distribution of a random variable $X$.

$x$ $0$ $1$ $2$
$P(X = x)$ $0.2$ $0.5$ $0.3$

What is $E(X)$?

  • A. $1.0$
  • B. $1.1$
  • C. $1.5$
  • D. $1.7$

Question 8

The lifetimes of a type of battery are normally distributed with mean $20$ hours and standard deviation $5$ hours.

Using the empirical rule, approximately what percentage of batteries have a lifetime between $15$ hours and $30$ hours?

  • A. $68\%$
  • B. $95\%$
  • C. $81.5\%$
  • D. $84\%$

Question 9

Which of the following functions is odd?

  • A. $f(x) = x^3 - x$
  • B. $f(x) = x^3 + 1$
  • C. $f(x) = x^2 - x$
  • D. $f(x) = |x - 1|$

Question 10

The diagram shows the graph of $y = f'(x)$, the derivative of a function $f$.

The graph of $y = f'(x)$ on $0 \le x \le 5$: the curve is positive for $0 \le x &lt; 2$, crosses the $x$-axis at $x = 2$ going from positive to negative, is negative for $2 &lt; x &lt; 5$, and has its own minimum near $x = 4$.
Diagram provided in the exam

Which statement about the function $f$ is correct?

  • A. $f$ has a local minimum at $x = 2$.
  • B. $f$ has a point of inflection at $x = 2$.
  • C. $f$ is increasing at $x = 3$.
  • D. $f$ has a local maximum at $x = 2$.

Section II

90 marks — Attempt Questions 11–31 — Allow about 2 hours and 45 minutes for this section

Answer the questions in the Section II answer booklet. Your responses should include relevant mathematical reasoning and/or calculations.

Question 11 (3 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.67

An arithmetic sequence begins $6,\ 11,\ 16,\ \ldots$

(a) Show that $2026$ is a term of the sequence, and find which term it is. (2 marks)

(b) Find the sum of all the terms of the sequence from $6$ up to and including $2026$. (1 mark)

Question 12 (3 marks)

The table shows the probability distribution of a random variable $X$, where $k$ is a constant.

$x$ $1$ $2$ $3$ $4$
$P(X = x)$ $0.1$ $0.3$ $k$ $0.2$

(a) Find the value of $k$. (1 mark)

(b) Find $E(X)$ and the standard deviation of $X$. (2 marks)

Question 13 (2 marks)

Prove that $\dfrac{1}{1 + \sin\theta} + \dfrac{1}{1 - \sin\theta} = 2\sec^2\theta$, for $\cos\theta \ne 0$. (2 marks)

Question 14 (3 marks)

Let $h(x) = \dfrac{3}{x^2 + 2}$.

(a) State the domain of $h(x)$. (1 mark)

(b) Explain why the maximum value of $h(x)$ is $\dfrac{3}{2}$. (1 mark)

(c) Hence state the range of $h(x)$. (1 mark)

Question 16 (4 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.67

A factory has three machines, $A$, $B$ and $C$, which produce items in the ratio $5 : 3 : 2$. Of the items produced, $2\%$ of machine $A$'s, $4\%$ of machine $B$'s and $5\%$ of machine $C$'s are defective.

An item is selected at random from the factory's output.

(a) By drawing a tree diagram, or otherwise, show that the probability that the selected item is defective is $0.032$. (2 marks)

(b) Given that the selected item is defective, find the probability that it was produced by machine $C$. (2 marks)

Question 17 (6 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.65

The table gives the future value of an annuity of $\$1$ per period, for various interest rates per period.

Number of periods $1\%$ $1.5\%$ $2\%$
$16$ $17.258$ $17.932$ $18.639$
$20$ $22.019$ $23.124$ $24.297$
$24$ $26.973$ $28.634$ $30.422$

(a) Leo deposits $\$2000$ into a savings account at the end of every quarter for $5$ years. The account earns interest at $6\%$ per annum, compounding quarterly.

Find the value of Leo's account at the end of the $5$ years. (2 marks)

(b) Mia wants her account to be worth $\$80\,000$ after $6$ years. Her account earns interest at $8\%$ per annum, compounding quarterly, and she will make equal deposits at the end of every quarter.

Find the size of each quarterly deposit, correct to the nearest cent. (2 marks)

(c) Find the total amount of interest Mia's account will earn over the $6$ years. (2 marks)

Question 18 (2 marks)

Using the definition $f'(x) = \displaystyle\lim_{h \to 0} \frac{f(x+h) - f(x)}{h}$, find the derivative of $f(x) = x^2 - 3x$. (2 marks)

Question 19 (2 marks)

The loudness of a sound, in decibels (dB), is given by $L = 10 \log_{10}\left(\dfrac{I}{I_0}\right)$, where $I$ is the intensity of the sound and $I_0$ is a reference intensity.

(a) A concert measures $95$ dB and normal conversation measures $65$ dB. How many times more intense is the concert than normal conversation? (1 mark)

(b) Sound $P$ is $6$ dB louder than sound $Q$. Show that sound $P$ is approximately $4$ times more intense than sound $Q$. (1 mark)

Question 20 (3 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.69

The parabola $y = x^2$ is translated $k$ units to the right and $k$ units up, where $0 < k < 5$, so that its equation becomes

$$y = (x - k)^2 + k.$$

The translated parabola passes through the point $(5, 11)$.

Find the value of $k$, justifying your rejection of any invalid solution. (3 marks)

Question 21 (3 marks)

The table shows the values of a function $f(x)$ at five equally spaced values of $x$.

$x$ $0$ $1$ $2$ $3$ $4$
$f(x)$ $2$ $2.9$ $4.4$ $6.5$ $9.2$

(a) Use the trapezoidal rule with these five values to estimate $\displaystyle\int_0^4 f(x)\; dx$. (2 marks)

(b) The graph of $y = f(x)$ is concave up on $0 \le x \le 4$. State, with a reason, whether the estimate in part (a) is greater than or less than the exact value of the integral. (1 mark)

Question 22 (6 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.72

Consider the curves $y = x^2 - 4x$ and $y = 2x - x^2$.

(a) Show that the curves intersect at $x = 0$ and $x = 3$. (2 marks)

(b) Determine which curve lies above the other for $0 < x < 3$. (1 mark)

(c) Find the exact area enclosed between the two curves. (3 marks)

Questions 11–22 are worth 41 marks in total.

Question 23 (5 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.71

A machine fills bags of rice. The masses of the bags are normally distributed with mean $505$ g and standard deviation $6$ g.

The table gives values of $P(Z \le z)$ for a standard normal variable $Z$.

$z$ $1.0$ $1.2$ $1.4$ $1.5$ $1.6$
$P(Z \le z)$ $0.8413$ $0.8849$ $0.9192$ $0.9332$ $0.9452$

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected bag has a mass less than $514$ g. (1 mark)

(b) Find the probability that a randomly selected bag has a mass between $499$ g and $514$ g. (2 marks)

(c) In a shipment of $2000$ bags, how many bags are expected to have a mass greater than $514$ g? (1 mark)

(d) The lightest $8.08\%$ of bags are rejected by a quality check. Find the maximum mass of a rejected bag. (1 mark)

Question 24 (4 marks)

The number of bacteria in a culture is modelled by $N(t) = 800e^{kt}$, where $t$ is the time in hours and $k$ is a positive constant. After $5$ hours there are $1200$ bacteria.

(a) Show that $k = \dfrac{1}{5}\ln\dfrac{3}{2} \approx 0.0811$. (1 mark)

(b) Show that after $10$ hours there are exactly $1800$ bacteria. (1 mark)

(c) Find the rate at which the number of bacteria is increasing when $t = 10$, correct to the nearest whole number per hour. (1 mark)

(d) Find the time at which the number of bacteria first reaches $3000$, correct to one decimal place. (1 mark)

Question 25 (5 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.66

A hiker walks $9$ km from $P$ on a bearing of $040°$ to $Q$, then $7$ km from $Q$ on a bearing of $150°$ to $R$.

Points $P$, $Q$ and $R$ with north lines at $P$ and $Q$. The segment $PQ$ of length $9$ km makes an angle of $40°$ east of north at $P$; the segment $QR$ of length $7$ km makes an angle of $150°$ east of north at $Q$, so that $R$ lies to the south-east of $Q$. The segment $PR$ is drawn. The angle $PQR$ is not a right angle.
Diagram provided in the exam

(a) Show that $\angle PQR = 70°$. (1 mark)

(b) Find the distance $PR$, correct to two decimal places. (2 marks)

(c) Find the bearing of $R$ from $P$, correct to the nearest degree. (2 marks)

Question 26 (4 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.64

A teacher records the number of hours, $x$, that each student in a class spent revising, and their test score, $y$. The hours revised range from $1$ to $8$. The least-squares regression line is

$$\hat{y} = 4.2x + 38, \qquad r = 0.87.$$

A scatterplot of test score against hours revised for about 20 students, with $x$ from 1 to 8 and $y$ from 40 to 75, showing a strong positive linear association, with the least-squares line $\hat{y} = 4.2x + 38$ drawn through the points.
Diagram provided in the exam

(a) Interpret the gradient of the regression line in the context of the data. (1 mark)

(b) Predict the test score of a student who revised for $6$ hours. (1 mark)

(c) Explain why this regression line should not be used to predict the score of a student who revised for $20$ hours. Support your answer with a calculation. (1 mark)

(d) A student claims that the gradient of $4.2$ shows that the correlation is strong. Explain the error in this claim. (1 mark)

Question 27 (6 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.69

A continuous random variable $X$ has probability density function

$$f(x) = \begin{cases} k(4 - x), & 0 \le x \le 4 \\ 0, & \text{otherwise,} \end{cases}$$

where $k$ is a constant.

(a) Show that $k = \dfrac{1}{8}$. (1 mark)

(b) Show that the cumulative distribution function of $X$ is $F(x) = \dfrac{8x - x^2}{16}$ for $0 \le x \le 4$. (1 mark)

(c) Find the exact value of the median of $X$. (2 marks)

(d) Write down the mode of $X$, justifying your answer. (1 mark)

(e) Find $P(X > 2)$. (1 mark)

Question 28 (6 marks)

Let $f(x) = x e^{-x}$.

(a) Show that $f'(x) = (1 - x)e^{-x}$. (1 mark)

(b) Find the coordinates of the stationary point of the graph of $y = f(x)$ and determine its nature. (2 marks)

(c) Show that $f''(x) = (x - 2)e^{-x}$, and hence show that the graph of $y = f(x)$ has a point of inflection at $x = 2$, justifying your answer. (2 marks)

(d) Sketch the graph of $y = f(x)$, showing the intercept, the stationary point, the point of inflection and the behaviour of the graph as $x \to \infty$. (1 mark)

Question 29 (6 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.69

The depth of water in a harbour is modelled by

$$D(t) = A + B\cos\left(\frac{\pi t}{6}\right),$$

where $D$ is the depth in metres and $t$ is the time in hours after midnight. High tide, of depth $9$ m, occurs at midnight, and low tide, of depth $3$ m, occurs at $6$ am.

(a) Show that $A = 6$ and $B = 3$. (2 marks)

(b) Sketch the graph of $D(t)$ for $0 \le t \le 12$. (2 marks)

(c) A ship needs a depth of at least $7.5$ m to enter the harbour. For how many hours during each $12$-hour tidal cycle can the ship enter? (2 marks)

Question 30 (7 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.71

Priya borrows $\$400\,000$ to buy an apartment. Interest is charged at $0.5\%$ per month on the balance owing. At the end of each month, immediately after the interest has been charged, Priya makes a repayment of $\$M$. Let $A_n$ be the balance owing after the $n$th repayment.

(a) Show that $A_2 = 400\,000(1.005)^2 - M(1 + 1.005)$. (1 mark)

(b) Show that $A_n = 400\,000(1.005)^n - 200M\left((1.005)^n - 1\right)$. (2 marks)

(c) Find the value of $M$, correct to the nearest cent, for which the loan is repaid after exactly $300$ monthly repayments. (2 marks)

(d) Suppose instead Priya repays $\$3000$ each month. Show that $A_n = 600\,000 - 200\,000(1.005)^n$, and find the number of months needed for the balance owing to first fall below $\$200\,000$. (2 marks)

Question 31 (6 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.75

A company manufactures closed rectangular boxes with a square base of side $x$ cm and height $h$ cm. Each box must have a volume of $432 \text{ cm}^3$. The material for the base and the top costs $2$ cents per $\text{cm}^2$, and the material for the four sides costs $1$ cent per $\text{cm}^2$.

(a) Show that the total cost of the material for one box, in cents, is

$$C = 4x^2 + \frac{1728}{x}.$$

(2 marks)

(b) Find the value of $x$ that minimises the cost, verifying that it gives a minimum. (3 marks)

(c) Find the minimum cost of the material for one box, in dollars. (1 mark)

Answers & marking notes not part of the examination paper — try the paper first

Answers and marking notes

(Intuition Education — not part of the examination paper.)

Section I — correct responses

Q 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Answer C B D A B C B C A D

Brief reasons:

  1. Need $4 - x^2 > 0$ (strict — the surd is in a denominator): $-2 < x < 2$. Distractor A closes the endpoints; D forgets the radicand must be positive, not merely non-zero. C
  2. $2x = 4 \Rightarrow x = 2$, $y = f(4) + 1 = 4$: the point is $(2, 4)$. Distractor A doubles instead of halving; C forgets the $+1$. B
  3. An extreme high outlier drags the mean strongly; the median moves at most to the next data value. D
  4. Amplitude $2$ about centre $3$: $[3-2,\ 3+2] = [1, 5]$; the $4$ affects only the period. A
  5. $h'(1) = f'(g(1)) \cdot g'(1) = f'(2) \times 6 = 3 \times 6 = 18$. Distractor A uses $f'(1) \cdot g'(1) = 24$. B
  6. $3 - x > 0 \Rightarrow x < 3$ (strict inequality — $\ln 0$ undefined). C
  7. $E(X) = 0(0.2) + 1(0.5) + 2(0.3) = 1.1$. Distractor D is $E(X^2) = 1.7$. B
  8. $P(-1 < Z < 2) = 34\% + 47.5\% = 81.5\%$. C
  9. $f(-x) = -x^3 + x = -f(x)$ for $f(x) = x^3 - x$; the others fail $f(-x) = -f(x)$. A
  10. $f'$ changes sign from positive to negative at $x = 2$: local maximum of $f$. At $x = 3$, $f' < 0$ so $f$ is decreasing (C wrong); B confuses the zero of $f'$ with a zero of $f''$. D

Question 11

(a) $T_n = 6 + 5(n-1) = 5n + 1$. Setting $5n + 1 = 2026$ gives $n = 405$, a positive integer — so $2026$ is the $405$th term. (1 mark forming $T_n$, 1 mark solving and stating $n$ integer.) (b) $S_{405} = \dfrac{405}{2}(6 + 2026) = 405 \times 1016 = 411\,480$.

Question 12

(a) $0.1 + 0.3 + k + 0.2 = 1 \Rightarrow k = 0.4$. (b) $E(X) = 0.1 + 0.6 + 1.2 + 0.8 = 2.7$. $E(X^2) = 0.1 + 1.2 + 3.6 + 3.2 = 8.1$, so $\text{Var}(X) = 8.1 - 2.7^2 = 0.81$ and $\sigma = 0.9$. (Marking note: the recurring flag — the standard deviation is the square root of the variance.)

Question 13

LHS $= \dfrac{(1 - \sin\theta) + (1 + \sin\theta)}{(1+\sin\theta)(1-\sin\theta)} = \dfrac{2}{1 - \sin^2\theta} = \dfrac{2}{\cos^2\theta} = 2\sec^2\theta$ = RHS. (Work one side only; 1 mark common denominator, 1 mark Pythagorean identity and completion.)

Question 14

(a) $x^2 + 2 \ge 2 > 0$ for all $x$, so the domain is all real $x$. (b) The denominator has minimum value $2$ (at $x = 0$), so $h$ has maximum value $\tfrac{3}{2}$. (c) As $|x| \to \infty$, $h(x) \to 0^+$ but never reaches $0$: range is $0 < h(x) \le \tfrac{3}{2}$, i.e. $\left(0, \tfrac{3}{2}\right]$.

Question 15

(a) $\dfrac{dy}{dx} = 2x\ln x + x^2 \cdot \dfrac{1}{x} = 2x \ln x + x$. (b) From (a), $\displaystyle\int (2x\ln x + x)\,dx = x^2 \ln x$, so $\displaystyle\int x \ln x\;dx = \tfrac{1}{2}\left(x^2 \ln x - \tfrac{x^2}{2}\right) + C = \tfrac{x^2 \ln x}{2} - \tfrac{x^2}{4} + C$. (The "hence" is compulsory in spirit: recognition, not integration by parts, which is not in this course.)

Question 16

(a) $P(D) = 0.5(0.02) + 0.3(0.04) + 0.2(0.05) = 0.01 + 0.012 + 0.01 = 0.032$. (1 mark converting the ratio $5:3:2$ to $0.5, 0.3, 0.2$; 1 mark total probability.) (b) $P(C \mid D) = \dfrac{P(C \cap D)}{P(D)} = \dfrac{0.01}{0.032} = \dfrac{5}{16} = 0.3125$. (The conditioning event is the outcome — the reduced sample space is the defective items.)

Question 17

(a) $6\%$ p.a. quarterly $\Rightarrow r = 1.5\%$ per quarter, $n = 20$ periods: factor $23.124$. $FV = 2000 \times 23.124 = \$46\,248$. (b) $8\%$ p.a. quarterly $\Rightarrow r = 2\%$, $n = 24$: factor $30.422$. Deposit $= \dfrac{80\,000}{30.422} = \$2629.68$. (Divide by the factor — the unknown is the contribution.) (c) Total deposits $= 24 \times 2629.68 = \$63\,112.32$; interest $= 80\,000 - 63\,112.32 = \$16\,887.68$.

Question 18

$\dfrac{f(x+h) - f(x)}{h} = \dfrac{(x+h)^2 - 3(x+h) - x^2 + 3x}{h} = \dfrac{2xh + h^2 - 3h}{h} = 2x + h - 3$. As $h \to 0$, $f'(x) = 2x - 3$. (1 mark correct expansion of the difference quotient, 1 mark taking the limit.)

Question 19

(a) $\Delta L = 30 = 10\log_{10}\left(\tfrac{I_1}{I_2}\right) \Rightarrow \tfrac{I_1}{I_2} = 10^3 = 1000$ times more intense. (b) $\tfrac{I_P}{I_Q} = 10^{6/10} = 10^{0.6} \approx 3.98 \approx 4$.

Question 20

$(5 - k)^2 + k = 11 \Rightarrow 25 - 10k + k^2 + k = 11 \Rightarrow k^2 - 9k + 14 = 0 \Rightarrow (k-2)(k-7) = 0$, so $k = 2$ or $k = 7$. Since $0 < k < 5$, reject $k = 7$: $k = 2$. (1 mark substituting the point into the transformed equation — apply the translation to the equation, not the coordinate; 1 mark solving the quadratic; 1 mark the explicit rejection. Both roots satisfy the equation — the rejection must cite the condition.)

Question 21

(a) $h = 1$: $\displaystyle\int_0^4 f(x)\,dx \approx \frac{1}{2}\left[2 + 9.2 + 2(2.9 + 4.4 + 6.5)\right] = \frac{1}{2}(11.2 + 27.6) = 19.4$. (Five function values = four applications; the flagged error is confusing the two counts.) (b) Concave up $\Rightarrow$ each chord lies above the curve, so the estimate is greater than the exact value (an overestimate).

Question 22

(a) $x^2 - 4x = 2x - x^2 \Rightarrow 2x^2 - 6x = 0 \Rightarrow 2x(x - 3) = 0 \Rightarrow x = 0, 3$. (b) At $x = 1$: $2x - x^2 = 1$ and $x^2 - 4x = -3$, so $y = 2x - x^2$ lies above. (c) $\displaystyle A = \int_0^3 \left[(2x - x^2) - (x^2 - 4x)\right] dx = \int_0^3 (6x - 2x^2)\,dx = \left[3x^2 - \tfrac{2x^3}{3}\right]_0^3 = 27 - 18 = 9$ square units. (Subtract in the correct order; substitute limits with brackets.)

Question 23

(a) $z = \dfrac{514 - 505}{6} = 1.5$: $P(X < 514) = 0.9332$. (b) $z$-scores $-1$ and $1.5$: $P = 0.9332 - (1 - 0.8413) = 0.9332 - 0.1587 = 0.7745$. (1 mark both $z$-scores, 1 mark symmetry for the lower tail.) (c) $P(X > 514) = 0.0668$: expected number $= 2000 \times 0.0668 = 133.6 \approx 134$ bags. (d) $0.0808 = 1 - 0.9192 \Rightarrow z = -1.4$: mass $= 505 - 1.4 \times 6 = 496.6$ g. (Reverse use of the table with symmetry.)

Question 24

(a) $1200 = 800e^{5k} \Rightarrow e^{5k} = \tfrac{3}{2} \Rightarrow k = \tfrac{1}{5}\ln\tfrac{3}{2} \approx 0.0811$. (b) $N(10) = 800e^{10k} = 800\left(e^{5k}\right)^2 = 800 \times \left(\tfrac{3}{2}\right)^2 = 1800$ exactly. (c) $N'(t) = kN(t)$, so $N'(10) = 0.0811 \times 1800 \approx 146$ bacteria per hour. ("Rate" means the derivative — the perennial flag.) (d) $800e^{kt} = 3000 \Rightarrow e^{kt} = 3.75 \Rightarrow t = \dfrac{\ln 3.75}{k} \approx \dfrac{1.3218}{0.0811} \approx 16.3$ hours.

Question 25

(a) The back-bearing from $Q$ to $P$ is $040° + 180° = 220°$; the bearing of $R$ from $Q$ is $150°$; hence $\angle PQR = 220° - 150° = 70°$. (b) $PR^2 = 9^2 + 7^2 - 2(9)(7)\cos 70° = 130 - 126\cos 70° \approx 86.91$, so $PR \approx 9.32$ km. (Cosine rule — no right angle is available.) (c) Sine rule: $\dfrac{\sin \angle QPR}{7} = \dfrac{\sin 70°}{9.32} \Rightarrow \sin\angle QPR \approx 0.7055 \Rightarrow \angle QPR \approx 45°$ (acute, since the largest angle is at $Q$, opposite the longest side). Bearing of $R$ from $P$ $= 040° + 45° = 085°$. (Convert the internal angle to a bearing — the flagged step.)

Question 26

(a) For each additional hour of revision, the predicted test score increases by $4.2$ marks. (Context and value both required.) (b) $\hat{y} = 4.2(6) + 38 = 63.2$. (c) $x = 20$ is far outside the observed data range (\$1$ to $8$ hours) — extrapolation; the line predicts $4.2(20) + 38 = 122$, an impossible score out of $100$. (d) The gradient measures the rate of change of predicted score, not the strength of the association; the correlation is measured by $r = 0.87$. A steep line can have weak correlation and vice versa.

Question 27

(a) $\displaystyle\int_0^4 k(4 - x)\,dx = k\left[4x - \tfrac{x^2}{2}\right]_0^4 = 8k = 1 \Rightarrow k = \tfrac{1}{8}$. (b) $F(x) = \displaystyle\int_0^x \tfrac{4 - t}{8}\,dt = \tfrac{1}{8}\left(4x - \tfrac{x^2}{2}\right) = \dfrac{8x - x^2}{16}$ (and $F(4) = 1$, as required). (c) $F(m) = \tfrac{1}{2}$: $8m - m^2 = 8 \Rightarrow m^2 - 8m + 8 = 0 \Rightarrow m = 4 \pm 2\sqrt{2}$. Since $0 \le m \le 4$, the median is $m = 4 - 2\sqrt{2}$. (Equate the CDF to $0.5$ — pdf/CDF confusion is the flagged error.) (d) $f$ is decreasing on $[0, 4]$, so its maximum is at the left endpoint: the mode is $x = 0$. (Do not differentiate — the monotone-density endpoint trap.) (e) $P(X > 2) = 1 - F(2) = 1 - \tfrac{12}{16} = \tfrac{1}{4}$.

Question 28

(a) Product rule: $f'(x) = e^{-x} + x(-e^{-x}) = (1 - x)e^{-x}$. (b) $f'(x) = 0 \Rightarrow x = 1$ (as $e^{-x} \ne 0$): stationary point $\left(1, e^{-1}\right)$. For $x < 1$, $f' > 0$; for $x > 1$, $f' < 0$: a local maximum. (Reject $e^{-x} = 0$; justify the nature.) (c) $f''(x) = -e^{-x} - (1 - x)e^{-x} = (x - 2)e^{-x}$. $f''(2) = 0$, and $f''$ changes sign at $x = 2$ (negative before, positive after) — concavity changes, so $\left(2, 2e^{-2}\right)$ is a point of inflection. ($f'' = 0$ alone is not sufficient.) (d) Curve through the origin, rising to the maximum $\left(1, e^{-1}\right)$, inflection at $x = 2$, then decreasing and approaching the asymptote $y = 0$ from above as $x \to \infty$; unbounded below as $x \to -\infty$.

Question 29

(a) Centre $= \tfrac{9 + 3}{2} = 6 = A$; amplitude $= \tfrac{9 - 3}{2} = 3 = B$. (Check: period $= \tfrac{2\pi}{\pi/6} = 12$ h, maximum $9$ at $t = 0$, minimum $3$ at $t = 6$. ✓) (b) One full cosine cycle from $(0, 9)$ down to $(6, 3)$ and back to $(12, 9)$, passing through $(3, 6)$ and $(9, 6)$; axes labelled, only the stated domain $[0, 12]$ drawn. (c) $6 + 3\cos\tfrac{\pi t}{6} \ge 7.5 \Rightarrow \cos\tfrac{\pi t}{6} \ge \tfrac{1}{2}$. Within one cycle, $\tfrac{\pi t}{6} \in \left[0, \tfrac{\pi}{3}\right] \cup \left[\tfrac{5\pi}{3}, 2\pi\right]$, i.e. $t \in [0, 2] \cup [10, 12]$ — a total of $\mathbf{4}$ hours per cycle. (Adjust the domain before solving; take both quadrant solutions.)

Question 30

(a) $A_1 = 400\,000(1.005) - M$; $A_2 = A_1(1.005) - M = 400\,000(1.005)^2 - M(1.005) - M = 400\,000(1.005)^2 - M(1 + 1.005)$. (b) Iterating, $A_n = 400\,000(1.005)^n - M\left(1 + 1.005 + \cdots + (1.005)^{n-1}\right)$. The geometric series (with $n$ terms) sums to $\dfrac{(1.005)^n - 1}{0.005} = 200\left((1.005)^n - 1\right)$, giving the stated form. (1 mark building the series with the correct number of terms — the perennial flag; 1 mark summing.) (c) $A_{300} = 0$: $M = \dfrac{400\,000(1.005)^{300} \times 0.005}{(1.005)^{300} - 1}$. With $(1.005)^{300} \approx 4.46497$: $M = \dfrac{2000 \times 4.46497}{3.46497} \approx \$2577.20$. (d) With $M = 3000$: $A_n = 400\,000(1.005)^n - 600\,000\left((1.005)^n - 1\right) = 600\,000 - 200\,000(1.005)^n$. Then $A_n < 200\,000 \Rightarrow (1.005)^n > 2 \Rightarrow n > \dfrac{\ln 2}{\ln 1.005} \approx 138.98$, so $n = 139$ months. ($n$ must be a whole number of months, rounded up.)

Question 31

(a) $h = \dfrac{432}{x^2}$. Base and top: area $2x^2$, cost $2 \times 2x^2 = 4x^2$ cents. Sides: area $4xh = \dfrac{1728}{x}$, cost $1 \times \dfrac{1728}{x}$ cents. Total $C = 4x^2 + \dfrac{1728}{x}$. (b) $C'(x) = 8x - \dfrac{1728}{x^2} = 0 \Rightarrow x^3 = 216 \Rightarrow x = 6$. $C''(x) = 8 + \dfrac{3456}{x^3} > 0$ for $x > 0$, so $x = 6$ gives a minimum. (Verify the nature — the four-times-flagged omission.) (c) $C(6) = 4(36) + \dfrac{1728}{6} = 144 + 288 = 432$ cents $= \$4.32$. (Answer the quantity asked — the cost, in dollars.)

Prediction provenance working — which prediction each part of the paper realises, linked both ways
Paper item Prediction Agreement

Q31 cost-objective optimisation with nature verification

↑ Q31
adv-q1-optimisation-capstone 0.75 · 6 (all) — gemini's cost-context structural twist adopted

MC Q1 domain with open/closed endpoint distractors

↑ Q1
adv-q2-domain-mc 0.77 · 5 (fable, opus, grok, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q22 area between two parabolas, intersections first

↑ Q22
adv-q3-area-between-curves 0.72 · 6 (all) — fresh curves; DeepSeek's pack-grounded $4x - x^2$ not reused

Q30 reducing-balance loan: show $A_2$, sum series, log solve

↑ Q30
adv-q4-loan-annuity-recurrence 0.71 · 6 (all)

Q23 normal with supplied $z$-table, reverse lookup in (d)

↑ Q23
adv-q5-normal-z-table 0.71 · 6 (all)

Q27 pdf chain: $k$, CDF, exact median, endpoint mode

↑ Q27
adv-q6-crv-pdf-chain 0.69 · 6 (all)

MC Q2 transformation point-mapping + Q20 written variant

↑ Q2 ↑ Q20
adv-q7-graph-transformations 0.69 · 6 (all)

Q29 tide model: fit constants, sketch, duration inequality

↑ Q29
adv-q8-trig-modelling 0.69 · 5 (fable, opus, deepseek, grok, gpt-5.6-sol) — fresh constants, not DeepSeek's illustrative 5.2 m/1.4 m

Q11 arithmetic-series opener with 2026 planted as a term

↑ Q11
adv-q9-series-opener 0.67 · 5 (grok, opus, fable, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q16 ratio-prior tree, then P(machine | defective)

↑ Q16
adv-q10-conditional-probability 0.67 · 5 (fable, deepseek, grok, opus, gpt-5.6-sol) — type only; DeepSeek's canonical disease-test constants not used

Q15 differentiate $x^2 \ln x$, hence $\int x\ln x\,dx$

↑ Q15
adv-q11-hence-pair 0.66 · 5 (fable, opus, grok, gpt-5.6-sol, deepseek)

Q25 two-leg bearing walk: cosine rule, sine rule, bearing

↑ Q25
adv-q12-bearings-3d-trig 0.66 · 6 (all)

Q17 future-value factor table: multiply AND divide parts

↑ Q17
adv-q13-interest-factor-table 0.65 · 6 (all) — the shared 6% p.a. surface detail verified present in the evidence pack (no contamination)

Q26 regression: gradient in context, predict, refuse extrapolation, gradient ≠ r

↑ Q26
adv-q14-regression-scatterplot 0.64 · 6 (all)

Q24 exponential growth: find $k$, rate, threshold time

↑ Q24
watch list ~0.63 · 6

Q21 trapezoidal rule + concavity overestimate

↑ Q21
watch list ~0.60 · 6

Q28 curve sketch of $xe^{-x}$ with concavity-change proof

↑ Q28
watch list ~0.62 · 5

Q12 discrete RV: missing $k$, $E(X)$, $\sigma$

↑ Q12
watch list ~0.55 · 5

Q14 composite-style range via the denominator's minimum

↑ Q14
watch list ~0.60 · 4

Q20 equal-shift parabola, quadratic in $k$, reject a root

↑ Q20
watch list ~0.48 · 4 (2025 Q30 lineage)

Q13 trig identity by common denominator

↑ Q13
watch list ~0.50 · 3 (fable, opus, gpt-5.6-sol)

Q18 first principles (MA-C1 coverage-gap comeback)

↑ Q18
watch list 0.50 / 0.30 · deepseek / opus bold — the panel's only rested topic, realised as the cheap-insurance 2-marker

Q19 logarithmic scale (decibels) — never examined 2020–25

↑ Q19
watch list 0.35 / 0.38 · fable / gpt-5.6-sol bold coverage-gap calls

MC Q5 chain rule from tabulated values

↑ Q5
watch list ~0.55 · 3 (fable, grok, gemini variant)

MC Q3 outlier effect on mean vs median; MC Q7 $E(X)$; MC Q4 trig range; MC Q6 ln domain; MC Q8 empirical rule; MC Q9 odd function; MC Q10 reasoning from $f'$

↑ Q3 ↑ Q7 ↑ Q4 ↑ Q6 ↑ Q8 ↑ Q9 ↑ Q10
topic-level consensus — · —

Not realised (closest cuts): arc/sector/segment (5 models, ~0.51), parallel box plots (4, ~0.53), trig equation quadratic in cos (gemini 0.75/deepseek 0.50), ambiguous-case sine rule revival, parameter-count trig finale (~0.49)

watch list — · —

Exam Success Program

Book our ESPs now — online or in person

A paper on your desk is one thing — the clock running is another. Sit Maths Advanced practice exams under real conditions and get them marked with real feedback. Exam times run seven days a week, right up until the HSC begins.

Book your ESP →

Places are still open for 2026

Intu AI

One paper isn't enough? Generate more

Intu AI builds unlimited practice questions for Maths Advanced in these styles, marks your working, and explains what you missed — aligned to your syllabus.

Practise with Intu AI →

Share & save

Practice paper (PDF)

Every style card and paper question has its own link — hover any card and use its copy-link icon to share exactly the thing you mean. Printing this page gives a clean copy too.

Published Aug 2026, before the exams. In November 2026 we score these predictions publicly against the real paper — per-model calibration and question-level hit rates, the same harness as the 2025 backtest. How we did it.