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2026 HSC Business Studies — Intuition Education Predicted Paper

100 marks · an original Intuition practice paper realising the consensus predictions — every question links to the evidence behind it. Prefer the PDF?

Provenance & general instructions

This full-length practice paper was built from the consensus of a six-model AI panel (fable, opus, gpt-5.6-sol, gemini-3.1-pro, grok, deepseek), each of which independently predicted the 2026 examination from the 2019–2025 papers and NESA marking feedback. The 109 question-level predictions were clustered; every cluster with consensus probability ≥ 0.55 is realised in this paper, all remaining clusters and the panel's watch list are drawn on, and financial management strategies are kept out of Section IV in line with the panel's rested call. Each question is tagged with the consensus cluster it realises and the probability that a question of that kind appears in 2026. Every question is original — none is copied from a past paper, and no hypothetical business in this paper appears in any past paper.

General instructions

  • Reading time — 5 minutes
  • Working time — 3 hours
  • Write using black pen
  • Board-approved calculators may be used

Section I

20 marks — Attempt Questions 1–20 — Allow about 35 minutes for this section

Use the multiple-choice answer sheet for Questions 1–20.

Question 1

A courier business guarantees delivery by 9 am the next day and refunds the full fee if a parcel arrives late. It has refunded only three deliveries this year.

Which performance objective is this business demonstrating?

  • A. Cost
  • B. Flexibility
  • C. Dependability
  • D. Speed

Question 2

The new owner of a garden centre wants to develop the business's first marketing plan.

What should the owner do FIRST?

  • A. Determine the marketing objectives
  • B. Conduct a situational analysis
  • C. Select the target market
  • D. Implement marketing strategies

Question 3

Warehouse staff at a distribution business have raised a dispute about a proposed change to their shifts.

What is the most appropriate FIRST step in resolving this dispute?

  • A. Referral to the Fair Work Commission for arbitration
  • B. Mediation using an independent third party
  • C. Negotiation between the employees and management
  • D. Commencing proceedings in a court or tribunal

Question 4

Which body is responsible for ensuring that Australian companies prepare financial reports that are true and fair, and for protecting investors and consumers in the financial system?

  • A. Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA)
  • B. Australian Securities Exchange (ASX)
  • C. Australian Taxation Office (ATO)
  • D. Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC)

Question 5

A florist holds fresh flowers that spoil quickly and rents only a small cool room. The owner wants to minimise the stock held at any time while still meeting daily orders.

Which inventory management approach is most appropriate for this business?

  • A. Last-in-first-out (LIFO)
  • B. Just-in-time (JIT)
  • C. Building a buffer stock in an off-site warehouse
  • D. First-in-first-out (FIFO)

Question 6

A gym markets its premium memberships to customers on the basis of their lifestyle, values and personality.

Which basis of market segmentation is the gym using?

  • A. Demographic
  • B. Geographic
  • C. Behavioural
  • D. Psychographic

Question 7

Which of the following describes an enterprise agreement?

  • A. A legally binding set of minimum wages and conditions for an industry, determined by the Fair Work Commission
  • B. An agreement negotiated collectively at workplace level that must leave employees better off overall than the relevant award
  • C. An individual contract negotiated privately between one employee and the employer
  • D. The ten minimum employment entitlements that apply to all employees

Question 8

What is the primary reason a business would factor its accounts receivable?

  • A. To increase sales revenue
  • B. To improve profitability
  • C. To improve cash flow immediately
  • D. To reduce its gearing ratio

Question 9

The table shows extracts from a business's income statements.

2024 2025
Sales revenue \$400 000 \$500 000
Cost of goods sold \$240 000 \$275 000
Operating expenses \$100 000 \$140 000

Which row of the table correctly describes the change in the business's ratios from 2024 to 2025?

Gross profit ratio Expense ratio
A. Improved Improved
B. Improved Worsened
C. Worsened Improved
D. Worsened Worsened

Question 10

Which of the following is a pricing METHOD?

  • A. Price skimming
  • B. Loss leading
  • C. Competition-based pricing
  • D. Price points

Question 11

Before production begins, a food manufacturer has its processes certified against a predetermined international standard.

Which quality management strategy is this?

  • A. Quality control
  • B. Quality assurance
  • C. Quality improvement
  • D. Benchmarking

Question 12

The table shows human resource data for four businesses of similar size in the same industry.

Business Staff turnover (%) Absenteeism (days per employee) Workplace accidents Output per employee (units)
W 5 3 1 120
X 25 10 2 130
Y 8 4 6 125
Z 20 9 5 110

Which business is managing its human resources most effectively?

  • A. W
  • B. X
  • C. Y
  • D. Z

Question 13

An Australian exporter is selling to a new overseas customer for the first time.

Which method of international payment gives the exporter the greatest certainty of being paid?

  • A. Clean payment
  • B. Bill of exchange — documents against payment
  • C. Letter of credit
  • D. Payment in advance

Question 14

A customer chooses a particular brand of running shoes because their family and friends recommend it.

Which factor influencing customer choice does this demonstrate?

  • A. Psychological
  • B. Sociocultural
  • C. Economic
  • D. Government

Question 15

An employee is injured while operating machinery at work and requires six weeks away from work to recover.

Which element of the legal framework of employment directly provides for the employee's income and rehabilitation during this period?

  • A. Work health and safety legislation
  • B. Anti-discrimination legislation
  • C. Workers compensation legislation
  • D. The National Employment Standards

Question 16

A manufacturer sells its factory to an investor and immediately signs a long-term agreement to rent the same factory.

What is the main financial purpose of this strategy?

  • A. To reduce the business's operating expenses
  • B. To improve working capital while retaining the use of the asset
  • C. To increase the value of non-current assets on the balance sheet
  • D. To reduce the business's exposure to interest rate rises

Question 17

A luxury watch brand sells only through one authorised retailer in each capital city.

Which distribution approach is the brand using?

  • A. Intensive distribution
  • B. Selective distribution
  • C. Exclusive distribution
  • D. Direct distribution

Question 18

Which entitlement is guaranteed to employees by the National Employment Standards?

  • A. Four weeks of paid annual leave
  • B. A performance bonus
  • C. Penalty rates for weekend work
  • D. A pay rise every twelve months

Use the following information to answer Questions 19 and 20.

A retailer is fitting out a new store. The table shows the tasks, their durations, and the tasks that must be completed first.

Task Description Duration (days) Must follow
A Sign lease and obtain approvals 3
B Install shelving 4 A
C Electrical work and painting 6 A
D Stock shelves and open 2 B and C

Question 20

The shelving supplier is delayed, so Task B will now take 6 days instead of 4.

What is the minimum time needed to complete the fit-out?

  • A. 9 days
  • B. 11 days
  • C. 13 days
  • D. 15 days

Section II

40 marks — Attempt Questions 21–24 — Allow about 1 hour and 15 minutes for this section

Answer the questions in the spaces provided. Show all relevant working in questions involving calculations.

Question 21 (11 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.50 Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.49 watch list: interdependence

Alpine Edge is a ski and snowboard hire business in the Snowy Mountains. Demand peaks sharply during the winter school holidays and falls to almost nothing in summer. The owner and four casual staff fit, adjust and repair hire equipment for customers in the store.

(a) Identify ONE transformed resource and ONE transforming resource in this business. (2)

(b) Explain how variation in demand affects the operations processes of this business. (3)

(c) Outline the interdependence between operations and human resources in this business. (2)

(d) The owner is considering outsourcing all equipment repairs to a specialist workshop. Discuss the implications of outsourcing the repairs for this business, including ONE quality management strategy it could use to protect the quality of the outsourced work. (4)

The following advertisement appears in a store catalogue.

SUNBURST BLENDERS WAS \$199 — NOW ONLY \$99!* "The last blender you will ever need to buy."

*In small print at the bottom of the page: Sale price applies only to display stock at selected stores. Warranty limited to 30 days.

The blender has never been offered for sale at $199.

(a) Identify TWO elements of the marketing mix evident in this advertisement. (2)

(b) Explain how TWO aspects of this advertisement may breach Australian consumer law. (3)

(c) The business plans to launch a new premium blender into a market with several established competitors. Recommend a suitable approach to pricing for the launch. In your answer, distinguish between a pricing method and a pricing strategy. (4)

Question 23 (10 marks)

Why this question → 6 of 6, p 0.68 watch list: limitations of financial reports

Harbourline Furniture Pty Ltd manufactures custom furniture. The table shows extracts from its financial reports, with industry averages.

$'000 2025 2026 Industry average
Sales revenue 1 200 1 500
Cost of goods sold 660 900
Gross profit 540 600
Operating expenses 360 450
Net profit 180 150 Net profit ratio 14%
Current assets 200 260 Current ratio 2.0:1
Current liabilities 100 200
Total liabilities 300 540 Gearing (debt to equity) 0.8:1
Owner's equity 600 600

(a) Calculate the gearing (debt to equity) ratio for 2025 and 2026. Show your working. (2)

(b) Explain what your results in part (a), together with the net profit ratio, indicate about this business compared with the industry averages. (3)

(c) Outline ONE limitation of financial reports that could affect the analysis of this business. (2)

(d) Recommend ONE financial management strategy this business could use to improve its profitability. Justify your recommendation using the data provided. (3)

Riverbend Logistics employs 45 warehouse staff under the relevant industry award. Management has proposed moving all staff onto a new enterprise agreement that changes weekend rosters. Staff have refused to work the proposed rosters, and some are threatening to stop work.

(a) Outline the cause of the dispute in this business. (2)

(b) Distinguish between an award and an enterprise agreement as methods of determining employment contracts. (4)

(c) Explain the steps this business could take to resolve the dispute if direct negotiation fails. (4)

Section III

20 marks — Attempt Question 25 — Allow about 35 minutes for this section

Answer the question in a writing booklet.

Question 25 (20 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.61 Why this question → 4 of 6, p 0.48 watch list: hedging, channel choice

Marrin Coast Foods Pty Ltd is an Australian manufacturer of premium roasted nut snacks. From January it will supply a national supermarket chain, which pays 60 days after each delivery. Production must be increased ahead of deliveries, so wages and ingredient payments rise from January. The business is also negotiating to sell its premium range to supermarkets in New Zealand, invoiced in New Zealand dollars and payable 60 days after delivery.

The business has prepared the following cash budget.

Cash budget, January–June ($'000)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Opening balance 40 50 40 (10) (70) (30)
Cash receipts 90 90 60 60 150 160
Cash payments 80 100 110 120 110 100
Closing balance 50 40 (10) (70) (30) 30

You have been hired as a consultant by the owner to write a business report.

In your report:

  • describe the purpose of the cash budget and any issues it shows for the business
  • recommend financial management strategies to address the issues identified, including ONE strategy to manage the currency risk of the New Zealand contract
  • recommend appropriate marketing strategies for launching the premium range in New Zealand, including a justified channel choice.

Section IV

20 marks — Attempt either Question 26 or Question 27 — Allow about 35 minutes for this section

Answer the question in a writing booklet.

Your answer will be assessed on how well you:

  • demonstrate knowledge and understanding relevant to the question
  • apply relevant business case study/studies and contemporary business issues
  • communicate using relevant business terminology and concepts
  • present a sustained, logical and cohesive response

Question 26 (20 marks)

Why this question → 5 of 6, p 0.51 watch list: judgement verb returns

Evaluate how rewards, training and development, and workplace dispute resolution can improve indicators of the effectiveness of human resource management, including staff turnover and worker satisfaction.

OR

Question 27 (20 marks)

watch list: SIV operations option, performance objectives

Evaluate how quality management, supply chain management and technology can improve the performance objectives of operations.

Answers & marking notes not part of the examination paper — try the paper first

Answers and marking notes

Section I — answer key

Q Answer Note
1 C Keeping a delivery promise consistently = dependability (speed is how fast, not how reliably)
2 B The marketing process begins with situational analysis (SWOT), before objectives or strategies
3 C Resolution sequence: negotiation → mediation → grievance procedures → courts/tribunals
4 D ASIC enforces true-and-fair reporting and consumer/investor protection; APRA regulates prudential risk
5 B JIT minimises holding of perishable stock; FIFO governs usage order, not stock levels
6 D Lifestyle, values and personality = psychographic segmentation
7 B Workplace-level collective bargain passing the better-off-overall test; A describes an award, D the NES
8 C Factoring converts receivables to immediate cash — at a discount, so it reduces profitability
9 B GPR 40% → 45% (improved); expense ratio 25% → 28% (worsened — a higher expense ratio is worse)
10 C Cost, market and competition-based pricing are methods; skimming/loss leaders/price points are strategies
11 B Certification against predetermined standards before production = assurance; control inspects output
12 A W is lowest on turnover, absenteeism and accidents; X's high output with 25% turnover is the trap
13 D Payment in advance transfers all risk to the buyer; letter of credit is next most secure
14 B Family and peer influence = sociocultural; psychological covers perception/motives/attitudes
15 C Workers compensation provides income support and rehabilitation after injury; WHS aims to prevent it
16 B Sale and lease back frees cash tied in the asset (improving working capital) while retaining its use
17 C One authorised outlet per market = exclusive; a small set of outlets would be selective
18 A The NES guarantee 4 weeks paid annual leave; penalty rates and pay rises are award/agreement matters
19 B B and C both follow A only, so they can run in parallel
20 B Paths A–B–D = 3+6+2 = 11 and A–C–D = 3+6+2 = 11; B's 2-day float absorbs the delay — 11 days, not 13

Section II — marking notes

Q21 (a). Transformed: the customer's equipment being fitted/adjusted/repaired (or the customer themselves, being fitted). Transforming: the staff (human resources) or the store's tools and facilities. One of each, drawn from the stimulus, for 2 marks — generic definitions score 1 at most. 2019 trap: transformed vs transforming reversed. (b). Variation in demand (a 4V) forces the business to redesign processes across the year: rostering casual staff up for the winter peak and down in summer, scheduling equipment maintenance in the off-season, and managing capacity/queues in the holiday peak. Marks for naming the V and landing the impact on the BUSINESS's processes (scheduling, staffing, capacity) — impacts framed on the customer cap at 1 (the 2024 visibility error). (c). Two-way link required for both marks: operations depends on HR to supply trained casual staff for the peak; HR depends on operations' demand pattern to plan acquisition and rosters. One-direction answers score 1 (the 2024 Q21(a) error). (d). Implications both ways: lower repair costs / access to specialist expertise / capacity freed in the peak, against loss of control over quality and turnaround, dependence on the workshop, possible customer perception issues. The named quality strategy must be specific: e.g. quality assurance — require the workshop to certify repairs against agreed standards in a service-level agreement — or quality control by inspecting returned equipment against a checklist. "Check the quality" unnamed scores nothing for that element (2021 feedback). Discuss = both sides + the named strategy applied to this business.

Q22 (a). Any two of: price (\$99 sale price), promotion (the advertisement itself), product (the blender/warranty). 1 mark each. (b). Two breaches explained against a named legal head: (1) two-price ("was/now") advertising where the item never sold at $199 is misleading and deceptive advertising about the saving; (2) the headline price contradicted by fine print (display stock, selected stores only) is misleading conduct/fine-print contradiction; (3) "the last blender you will ever need" with a 30-day warranty may breach implied conditions/consumer guarantees of acceptable quality and durability. Any two, named — rewriting the ad or calling it "unethical" without the legal head scores at most 1 (2021 feedback). (c). Top marks require the distinction used, not just stated: a pricing METHOD sets the base price (cost-based, market-based, competition-based — competition-based fits a market with established rivals); a pricing STRATEGY positions it (price skimming suits the premium blender's quality signal via price–quality interaction; penetration would undercut the premium position). Recommend ONE approach and justify it for THIS launch. 2020 feedback: methods and strategies confused.

Q23 (a). Gearing = total liabilities ÷ owner's equity: 2025 = 300/600 = 0.5:1; 2026 = 540/600 = 0.9:1. Working required; units/form of the ratio required (place value and units flagged 2020/2022/2025). (b). Gearing has risen from 0.5:1 to 0.9:1 and now exceeds the industry average (0.8:1) — the business is more reliant on debt than its peers, increasing risk (and interest costs). Net profit ratio fell from 15% (1200→180) to 10% (1500→150), now below the industry 14% — sales grew but costs grew faster, so each sales dollar earns less than competitors'. Full marks need both ratios interpreted FOR the business against the benchmark, not defined. (The current ratio's slide from 2.0:1 to 1.3:1 may be credited as supporting evidence.) (c). One limitation outlined, e.g. historical cost/asset valuation (custom equipment may be under- or over-stated), normalised earnings, capitalising expenses, or timing/window-dressing around balance date — meaning reported figures may flatter or understate true performance. 2 marks for the limitation tied to analysis, 1 for a bare identification. (d). One strategy + justification from the data: cost controls/expense minimisation (operating expenses rose 360→450, driving the NPR fall — target fixed and variable cost review), or revenue controls (pricing/sales-mix review since COGS rose from 55% to 60% of sales). The justification must cite the figures; a generic "increase sales" scores 1.

Q24 (a). Cause: a proposed change to employment conditions — new rosters under a proposed enterprise agreement — i.e. a dispute over negotiation of an agreement / changes to working arrangements. 2 marks for cause grounded in the stimulus. (b). Award: a legally binding minimum set of industry-wide wages and conditions, determined and varied by the Fair Work Commission; applies to all employees in the industry classification; the safety net above the NES. Enterprise agreement: negotiated collectively at the level of one enterprise between employer and employees (often with union involvement), must pass the better-off-overall test against the award, is approved by the FWC and runs for a set term. Distinguish = the differences made explicit (who makes it, coverage, how set, relation to the BOOT/NES). 2019 trap: awards read as "rewards". (c). Steps in sequence beyond failed negotiation: mediation (independent third party facilitates, non-binding); grievance procedures (the formal internal escalation process, if provided in the agreement); then conciliation and, if needed, arbitration by the Fair Work Commission (binding determination); courts as the final avenue for breaches. Marks for the ordered sequence applied to this dispute and for distinguishing the FWC's conciliation (assisted agreement) from arbitration (imposed decision).

Section III — marking notes (Question 25)

Report format expected (title, brief introduction, headed sections, recommendations) with the three bullets each addressed for band 5–6; the stimulus figures must be cited.

Bullet 1 — purpose and issues. Purpose: the cash budget plans and monitors expected receipts and payments so shortfalls can be anticipated — a financial control in planning and implementing. Issues found: closing balance turns negative in March (−\$10k), bottoms at −\$70k in April, and stays negative in May (−\$30k) — caused by the timing mismatch the stimulus explains: production payments rise from January but the supermarket pays 60 days after delivery, so cash goes out roughly two months before it comes in. June turns positive (\$30k) once receipts catch up: a timing problem, not a profitability problem — top-band answers say so.

Bullet 2 — financial strategies. Recommendations tied to the identified gap, e.g.: factoring the supermarket receivables (immediate cash, at a discount to profitability — trade-off must be stated, 2024 feedback); negotiating distribution of payments with ingredient suppliers to push payments past April; a short-term overdraft sized to the −\$70k trough; discounts for early payment (weighing revenue cost); sale and lease back only if a suitable asset exists. Currency risk: ONE named global financial management strategy — a forward exchange contract locking the NZD/AUD rate for the 60-day receivables (or natural hedging/currency invoicing if argued). 2022 report feedback: global financial management strategies, not general financial strategies.

Bullet 3 — marketing strategies for New Zealand. Global marketing decisions justified for a PREMIUM product: channel choice — selective or exclusive distribution through premium supermarkets/gourmet retailers, because intensive distribution would erode the premium positioning (price–quality interaction); plus supporting strategies, e.g. standardised branding with local labelling compliance, skimming-consistent pricing, and promotion aimed at the chosen segment. The channel recommendation must be argued against positioning, not described (2022 feedback: channel choice ≠ distribution channels).

Section IV — marking guidance

Both stems share the verb (parallel-stem convention, every paper 2019–2025). Evaluate requires criteria and a sustained judgement — the 2020/2023/2024/2025 feedback repeatedly flagged judgement asserted once and never sustained.

Q26. Each named strategy must be linked to named indicators: rewards (monetary/non-monetary, individual/group) → turnover and satisfaction; training and development → satisfaction, accidents, productivity as benchmarked variables; dispute resolution (grievance procedures, mediation) → levels of disputation and corporate culture. Top band: judgement per strategy (which works, under what conditions, at what cost), case study integrated into each paragraph — not a closing sentence — and both named indicators (staff turnover, worker satisfaction) explicitly covered; omitting a named element caps the response (2025 feedback).

Q27. Each strategy tied to named performance objectives: quality management (control/assurance/improvement) → quality conformance and dependability; supply chain management (sourcing, logistics, e-commerce) → cost, speed and dependability with the global-sourcing quality trade-off weighed; technology (CAD/CAM, robotics) → cost, speed, flexibility against capital cost and downtime risk. Top band sustains an evaluation (extent of improvement, trade-offs between objectives — e.g. cost vs quality), with case evidence throughout.

Prediction provenance working — which prediction each part of the paper realises, linked both ways
Paper item Prediction Agreement

Section I Q2

↑ Q2
topic-level consensus 0.90 (fable) · 1 (fable; annual 2019–2025 lineage)

Section I Q3

↑ Q3
topic-level consensus 0.50 (grok) · 2 (grok, fable-adjacent)

Section I Q4

↑ Q4
topic-level consensus 0.80 (opus) · 2

Section I Q5

↑ Q5
topic-level consensus 0.40–0.90 · 2

Section I Q6

↑ Q6
topic-level consensus 0.90 (fable) · 1

Section I Q7

↑ Q7
topic-level consensus 0.51 · 3 (opus, gpt-5.6-sol, grok-adjacent)

Section I Q8

↑ Q8
topic-level consensus 0.80 (fable) · 2

Section I Q9

↑ Q9
topic-level consensus 0.62 · 2 (fable 0.75, grok 0.48)

Section I Q10

↑ Q10
topic-level consensus 0.55 (grok) · 2 (grok, fable)

Section I Q11

↑ Q11
topic-level consensus 0.44 (gpt-5.6-sol) · 1

Section I Q12

↑ Q12
topic-level consensus 0.52 · 6 (all; MC form: fable, grok)

Section I Q13

↑ Q13
watch list 0.35 (fable) · 2 (fable, deepseek-adjacent)

Section I Q14

↑ Q14
topic-level consensus 0.58 (grok) · 2

Section I Q15

↑ Q15
topic-level consensus 0.90 (fable) · 2

Section I Q16

↑ Q16
topic-level consensus 0.40 (grok) · 2

Section I Q17

↑ Q17
watch list 0.90 (fable) · 2 (fable, opus-adjacent)

Section I Q18

↑ Q18
topic-level consensus 0.42 (gpt-5.6-sol) · 2

Section I Q19–20

↑ Q19
bus-q4-critical-path-returns 0.58 · 4 (fable, opus, grok, deepseek)

Q21 (a)–(b)

↑ Q21
bus-q7-transformation-4vs 0.50 · 5 (all but gemini)

Q21 (c)

↑ Q21
watch list 0.40 (fable) · 2 (fable, gemini trend)

Q21 (d)

↑ Q21
bus-q9-quality-management-outsourcing 0.49 · 6 (all)

Q22 (b)

↑ Q22
bus-q8-consumer-law-advertisement 0.44 · 5 (all but gemini)

Q22 (c)

↑ Q22
bus-q10-pricing-methods-vs-strategies 0.49 · 5 (all but gemini)

Q23 (a)–(b)

↑ Q23
bus-q1-finance-ratio-table 0.68 · 6 (all)

Q23 (c)

↑ Q23
watch list 0.40–0.60 · 4

Q23 (d)

↑ Q23
topic-level consensus 0.85 (gemini) · 3

Q24 (b)

↑ Q24
bus-q6-awards-vs-enterprise-agreements 0.51 · 5 (all but gemini)

Q24 (a), (c)

↑ Q24
bus-q12-dispute-resolution-sequence 0.45 · 4 (fable, opus, grok, deepseek)

Q25

↑ Q25
bus-q2-section3-finance-report 0.61 · 5 (all but fable, which pairs Mkt+Ops)

Q25 bullet 2

↑ Q25
bus-q11-working-capital-liquidity 0.48 · 4 (fable, opus, grok, deepseek)

Q25 bullet 2 (currency)

↑ Q25
watch list 0.35–0.50 · 4 (fable, opus, grok, deepseek)

Q25 bullet 3

↑ Q25
watch list 0.40 · 2 (opus, grok)

Q26

↑ Q26
bus-q3-hr-essay-return 0.51 · 5 (all but deepseek, which backs it structurally at 0.65)

Q27

↑ Q27
watch list 0.32–0.42 · 3 (opus, grok, deepseek structural)

Q26/Q27 verb

↑ Q26 ↑ Q27
watch list trend · 4 (opus, gemini, deepseek, grok)

Section IV omits Finance

topic-level consensus gpt rests topic at 0.68 · 4 (fable, opus, gpt-5.6-sol, grok)

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Published Aug 2026, before the exams. In November 2026 we score these predictions publicly against the real paper — per-model calibration and question-level hit rates, the same harness as the 2025 backtest. How we did it.